- The Iraq Study Group report makes clear that the Republican Establishment (personified as James Baker) will not permit George Bush to keep the Iraq war going through the 2008 elections. Either Iraq must be irrelevant by then, or someone who will make Iraq irrelevant by then must come forward to do it for George.
- George Bush will not permit himself to become a President who lost a war. However, that is exactly what he must do, and before November 2007, if he is to make Iraq irrelevant by November 2008.
There you have it. The GOPer's solution? Bush leaves, and Cheney -- in "Nixon/China" redux, takes the office with the specific purpose of pulling out. Timeline? To effect a pull-out by end of 2007, Bush must telegraph his intentions to do so by April-May 2007. If he does not do so, look for the new "oversight" of Congress to take a strong bi-partisan tone. The Democrats will not mount impeachment alone -- they do not want the blame for an American government in disarray, after only just gaining back the Congress. So, the GOP will have to take a strong leadership role. Complicating this is the Presidential aspirations of congressional leaders: you can't impeach a president, and then run for President. So, the leaders (McCain, Clinton, et al) cannot take a public role.
4 comments:
Great post, thanks. Don't know if you've seen these two short videos from Iraq yet or not, but both show the US Military engaging in some very dubious actions. I have them up on my site at www.minor-ripper.blogspot.com ..You have to wonder what these soldiers were thinking when videotaping this stuff...
Another remarkably bold prognostication by Bob! I've got to admit, I like this one even better than Safire-is-Deepthroat. Still, do Republicans really eat their own young? --Matt
You know Bob, if you're going to make ridiculous predictions like this, you're going to have to put your luxcafbev where your mouth is.
Matt: Republicans eat their own young ONLY IF -- and NEVER IF NOT -- there's something to gain in it.
Patrick: my accountant does not permit me to enter into LCB bets, until after I pay off some of these existing ones.
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